Transparency is at the core of what we do. Here's exactly how our prediction model works.
We use a combination of statistical analysis and machine learning to generate probability estimates for sporting events. Our model continuously learns from historical outcomes to improve accuracy over time.
The confidence percentages you see represent our model's estimated probability that a given outcome will occur. A 70% confidence means we believe the outcome will occur roughly 7 out of 10 times in similar situations.
10+ years of match data for pattern analysis
Up-to-date team and player statistics
Performance in last 5, 10, and 20 matches
Historical matchup records between teams
Venue-based performance differentials
Consensus signal from bookmaker lines
Our confidence percentages represent probability estimates, not certainties. Here's how to interpret them:
Strong historical patterns and data alignment. These predictions have our highest conviction, but remember that even 80% means the other outcome happens 20% of the time.
Favorable indicators but with more uncertainty. These predictions lean one direction but have more variance than our high-confidence picks.
Close to a coin flip. These matchups have minimal edge either way. Exercise extra caution with these predictions.
We believe in radical transparency. Our complete prediction history is publicly available, including every prediction we've made and whether it was correct.
Our predictions are meant for informational and entertainment purposes. Please consider:
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please contact the National Council on Problem Gambling at 1-800-522-4700.